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Quantitative BiologyEnglishPublished

How invasion speed changes when dispersal distance grows with population size

July 1, 2026arXiv: 2606.31942v1

This paper studies how a spreading population changes when the distance that offspring travel depends on the size of the main population. Instead of assuming settlers always land a fixed distance away, the authors let the typical dispersal distance grow like L(r) = r^μ, where r is the linear size of the main colony and μ is a number between 0 and 1. They find that coupling dispersal range to population size produces qualitatively different invasion behaviors: steady linear advance, faster power-law growth, very fast exponential-like growth, or even a finite-time blow-up in the idealized model.

The authors work with two related models. The first is an analytic, mean-field model known as the coalescing colony model. In that picture a circular main colony grows at constant radial speed c and emits pointlike secondary colonies at rate λ(r) = λ0 r^θ, where θ controls how emission depends on colony size. Each newcomer is placed a distance L(r)=r^μ from the main boundary, grows at the same speed c, and is absorbed instantly if it contacts the main colony. The authors derive generalized dynamical equations (extensions of the Shigesada–Kawasaki equations) for the main-colony radius r(t) and for the size of absorbed colonies. The second model is a spatial, physical simulation in which absorbed volume is not redistributed and the main colony can develop irregular shapes.

Using the analytic equations the paper maps a phase diagram of growth regimes. A simple inequality involving the emission exponent θ, the dispersal exponent μ and the space dimension d determines the regimes. When θ + d μ ≤ d − 1 the front stays in a linear regime and the main colony advances at speed close to c. For intermediate values of θ + d μ the main colony grows faster than linear as a power of time (a power-law: r(t)∝t^β with β>1 and β set by θ and μ). For even larger values the model predicts exponential-like growth or a finite-time blow-up of the idealized equations. The special case μ = 1 behaves differently: theory predicts a nonzero, macroscopic fraction of the population remains in satellites rather than being absorbed.

When they compare the analytic model to explicit spatial simulations the authors find partial agreement and clear differences. The coalescing-colony theory captures how the colony perimeter scales in many regimes. But it fails to predict the scaling of the occupied volume. The simulations show the main colony often loses circular symmetry, producing satellites and irregular shapes that the mean-field, instant-absorption theory does not capture. In particular, simulations reveal a persistent satellite population for μ greater than a critical value μ* ≈ 0.7, a feature not predicted by the analytic model. The analytic model also predicts that the fraction of population outside the main colony decays to zero like a power law when μ < 1, and stays macroscopic at μ = 1; the simulations show additional persistent satellites for μ > μ*.

These results matter because they show a simple and realistic change—letting dispersal range scale with population size—can qualitatively change invasion dynamics. That alters expectations for biological invasions, models of metastasis, or spread of urban areas when long jumps depend on population size. At the same time the work carries important caveats. The analytic model makes several strong simplifications: dispersal distances are taken as deterministic averages, secondary colonies are absorbed instantly and their volume is redistributed isotropically, and the mean-field equations are valid only up to a finite time before avalanche-like events can appear. Also the theory is formulated for μ ≤ 1; behavior for superlinear scaling is not addressed. Because of these assumptions the analytic predictions must be checked against more detailed spatial models and data before drawing conclusions for specific real-world systems.

Source paper

Invasion with size-dependent dispersion range

Quantitative Biologycond-mat.stat-mech
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